I like to run various scenarios, just in case. Using the most recent FOCUS numbers, I offer a few different possibilities, though as the numbers come in, those are looking less and less likely. The upshot: if the polling numbers are right, the only way there is not a significant majority in the hands of Smer is if all of the borderline parties don’t get in. That means SNS, MK and SaS. SaS looks to have a good shot, so it’s really up to SMK and SNS but as the past post shows, time is running out for those two. One party government (de facto if not de jure) here we come.
|As predicted by FOCUS||As predicted minus SaS||As predicted plus MK||As predicted plus MK and SNS|
|Seats||Current||minus SaS||plus MK||plus MK&SNS|