Sceniarios, but not much difference

I like to run various scenarios, just in case.  Using the most recent FOCUS numbers, I offer a few different possibilities, though as the numbers come in, those are looking less and less likely.  The upshot:  if the polling numbers are right, the only way there is not a significant majority in the hands of Smer is if all of the borderline parties don’t get in.  That means SNS, MK and SaS.  SaS looks to have a good shot, so it’s really up to SMK and SNS but as the past post shows, time is running out for those two.  One party government (de facto if not de jure) here we come.

  As predicted by FOCUS As predicted minus SaS As predicted plus MK As predicted plus MK and SNS
Smer 43.70 43.70 43.70 43.70
KDH 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00
OL 8.50 8.50 8.50 8.50
Most-Hid 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00
SDKU 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50
SaS 5.90 4.99 5.90 5.90
SNS       5.01
MK     5.01 5.01
Seats Current minus SaS plus MK plus MK&SNS
Smer 82 88 77 73
KDH 16 18 16 15
OL 16 17 15 14
Most-Hid 13 14 12 11
SDKU 12 13 11 11
SaS 11 0 10 10
SNS 0 0 0 8
MK 0 0 9 8
Sum 150 150 150 150

You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

Leave a Reply

XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>