As far as I can tell there are no odds markets like http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/, http://www.intrade.com for Slovakia’s politics, but there are more traditional bookies that sometimes deal in politics. In 2006 Tipos (http://ekurz.etip.sk) dabbled in parliamentary odds, but did a rather poor job such that straight betting on the poll averages allowed would-be-bettors to make money (http://www.pozorblog.com/?p=18). Now Nike (http://www2.nike.sk/index.php?cmd=sk/info/clanky/full-section/4480) has entered the fray with a presidential option. This is probably a no-brainer since the election outcome is unlikely to change from current polls putting Gasparovic ahead, and betting on him at 1.2:1 would probably yield less than the transaction costs. Still, I’ll try to follow these numbers and see if they change on a daily basis. Here are the current odds:
What makes the difference between Melnik’s 800 and Sidor’s 1000 is a curiosity, but I suppose if everybody other than Radicova was 500:1 it wouldn’t seem very interesting for the bettors.
Below please find notes for the talk I will give on March 31, 2008 at the Annual Doctoral Conference of the Poltical Science Department of Central European University. As befits the topic and this blog, I will be updating this page periodically to add resources and fill in the blanks. If you are reading this, I would appreciate your input in two ways:
- While availability permits, please take 5-10 minutes to answer a survey that will permit me to speak directly to the experience of current graduate students: http://www.surveymonkey.com/s.aspx?sm=zsU2Gt2zicoRK2LpcdaYsA_3d_3d
- Please leave comments in the designated section below. The more comments I can get beforehand, the better the presentation (and its successors) will be.
What’s a geek like me doing in a place like this…
I. Technology and Politics
II. The Web and Politics
III. Technology and Political Science
- Working with words
- Working with numbers
- Working with others
IV. Web 2.0 and political science?
- “Good News About What You Are Already Doing”
- Object-centered social networks
- Andrew Chadwick’s Furl list:
- Andrew Chadwick explains his Furl list: http://www.andrewchadwick.com/archives/2008/02/entry_188.html
- Jo Guldi explains how she uses del.icio.us in research:
- Educause, Seven Things You Should Know About Social Bookmarking, http://www.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/ELI7001.pdf