With 35% of precincts in, Smer is still in a commanding lead with 37% that is way above what the exit polls predict, while SDKU is considerably short of the predicted 18% (in the FOCUS poll) and MKP-SMK well short of the 5% threshold at 3.2%.  But we need to take the process of reporting into account.  This year’s trends look like those of 2006 only a bit sharper, as the graphs below show.  These are a bit misleading as the trendlines invariably smooth out toward the horizontal.  Draw these into curves and you get Smer above the predicted 29 but not by much.  SMK is the only one whose current trendline does not look like what the exit polls predict.  This is just a preliminary look.  (Smer in orange, SDKU in dark blue,  Sas in turquoise, Most in gold, SNS in dark green, HZDS in brown, MKP-SMK in bright green, SDL in pink.  More soon.