Posted in May 31, 2010 ¬ 1:58 pmh.admin
Another quick and ugly post from vacation (thanks to my family for tolerating my obsession even as we drive from city to city to visit loved ones). I wanted briefly to put the 2010 Czech election into the context of the Czech party system over time (the next quick and ugly will, I hope, put [...]
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Czech Republic, elections, political parties, polls, public opinionCzech Republic, elections, political parties, polls, populism, public opinion, volatility
Posted in May 30, 2010 ¬ 2:45 pmh.admin
No time right now for fancy graphs but since the Czech election produced a result that was not predicted by the polls (the best pre-election scenario was a narrow center right majority if KDU-CSL made it into parliament, whereas what we appear to get is a substantial center right majority even without KDU-CSL) I want [...]
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Posted in May 29, 2010 ¬ 11:31 amh.tjhaughton
The smiling gentleman pictured here–Tim Haughton of the University of Birmingham–is not a blogger, but he should be, and so I have pressured him into sharing his impressions of electoral politics in the Czech Republic in the run-up to today’s election. I have the good fortune not only to profit from Tim’s insightful analysis of [...]
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Posted in May 28, 2010 ¬ 11:01 pmh.drsean
Editor’s note: For the first time on this blog I welcome a guest blogger, and there is no better way to start than with Sean Hanley of University College London, School of Slavonic and East European Studies, Centre for the Study of Central Europe. It is Sean’s Blog, http://drseansdiary.blogspot.com/that made me realize how useful blogs [...]
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Posted in May 28, 2010 ¬ 1:35 pmh.admin
Today’s Czech election (and tomorrow’s Eurovision song contest) are the big news (except that Slovakia and the Czech Republic failed to make it into the final yet again) but there’s actually no actual news just yet, so there’s time for a brief comment on reports of today’s Polis poll in Slovakia. I still wonder about [...]
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Posted in May 27, 2010 ¬ 10:50 amh.admin
Having just spent quite a bit of time thinking about Czech politics (and expecting to do so again once we get Saturday’s election results) I am struck by how different much of it is from Slovakia–and how much is quite (perhaps increasingly) similar. Unlike Slovakia’s politics, Czech politics still revolves around a left-right axis on [...]
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Posted in May 25, 2010 ¬ 4:34 pmh.admin
Only three days to go and we have now the final allowed-by-law pre-election poll numbers in (the big three of CVVM, STEM and Factum-Invenio; SANEP and Median did not report, but this is probably all right since I am not yet certain how to think about SANEP and I am certain that Median has significant [...]
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Czech Republic, political parties, polls, public opinion, Uncategorized, veřejné míněníCVVM, Czech Republic, elections, Factum, political parties, public opinion, STEM
Posted in May 22, 2010 ¬ 6:02 pmh.admin
I will deal with the actual poll results in a few future posts, but I want build on the introduction of the Czech dashboard by talking about broader trends and in particular by assessing the magnitude of “new party eruptions,” the dominant feature of the current Czech campaign. In my own recent study of populism [...]
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Czech Republic, elections, new parties, party death, political parties, public opinion, veřejné míněníCzech Republic, elections, new parties, political parties, polls, public opinion
Posted in May 21, 2010 ¬ 2:13 pmh.admin
There’s a new button on this blog that leads to a new page with graphs of all major Czech political parties in all major polls. This took longer than I had hoped, but I introduce it today with delight because it allows me to return to something I have always loved. I started my life [...]
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Posted in May 20, 2010 ¬ 1:41 pmh.admin
FOCUS has put out new numbers for early May (though we still only have results for the bigger parties since they appear now to have an agreement with TA3 that embargoes the full press release until later). I do not have time to do a full post here but I’ve posted the graphs on the [...]
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