February 2008: Trends and Comparisons Revised, Now with MVK!

Trends and Comparisons Monthly Report

I missed the press release for MVK earlier this month and so I add its polls here with a few comments where MVK data actually changes anything. Because MVK results tend to stand between the other two surveys, the only major changes involve a gentle smoothing of trends:

Multiple-poll+average+ for +Smer+ for the most recent +4+months+ in Slovakia

With MVK added the trend for Smer between December and February is almost flat and the final average closer to 40% than to 41%, but that’s not exactly earthshaking. On all 3 occasions MVK splits the difference between UVVM and FOCUS
Multiple-poll+average+ for +SDKU+ for the most recent +4+months+ in Slovakia

This graph of recent polling results for SDKU shows no real difference with the addition of MVK: drop and then slight recovery. MVK jumps from side to side.

Multiple-poll+average+ for +SNS+ for the most recent +4+months+ in Slovakia

MVK slightly dampens the loss-gain patten of SNS here.

Multiple-poll+average+ for +MK+ for the most recent +4+months+ in Slovakia

This graph of recent results for MK shows even more stability with the addition of MVK data. As before, this data suggests that perhaps UVVM was not surveying a sufficient number of ethnic Hungarians, a problem that may have been fixed in the most recent UVVM poll.

Multiple-poll+average+ for +HZDS+ for the most recent +4+months+ in Slovakia

Adding MVK to HZDS reveals a completely flat trend. MVK tends to show lower values for HZDS than do other polls.

Multiple-poll+average+ for +KDH+ for the most recent +4+months+ in Slovakia

MVK data brings up the middle but there’s not much middle to bring up as the range is extremely narrow.
Multiple-poll+average+ for +KSS+ for the most recent +4+months+ in Slovakia

This graph of recent results for KSS shows no change because on all three occasions, the figure for KSS is the exact mathematical mean of the figures for UVVM and FOCUS.

Leave a Reply