Czech Dashboard News: New parties and the big picture

I will deal with the actual poll results in a few future posts, but I want build on the introduction of the Czech dashboard by talking about broader trends and in particular by assessing the magnitude of “new party eruptions,” the dominant feature of the current Czech campaign. In my own recent study of populism …

Conference Notes: Social Democracy after the 2006 Elections in Slovakia

Thanks to Michael Petras and Martin Muransky for organizing a fabulous conference:Below please find a few notes from various speakers and at the bottom, the conference schedule in Slovak. Social Democracy after the 2006 Elections in Slovakia Bratislava, Slovakia, 23-24 May 2008 Organized by the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung Social Policy of the Slovak GovernmentJuraj Draxler, …

Virtual Citizenship, Part VII: Vernor Vinge

Vernor Vinge, "People Power in the Future" No one knows the future, so scenarios are much preferred to predictions (and for some the most important issues, scenarios are more useful than elaborate probability analysis). Straight line linear projections, predictions from the futurists of the 1970’s in regard to oil prices proved accurate with regard to …

The Viability Gap

One more brief post on an issue separate from (but perhaps closely related to) the question of populism and its routinization.  As graphs of party support show (xxx), Slovakia’s party scene has divided itself into three distinct groupings when measured in terms of popular support:  Smer, in a league by itself; a cluster around 10% …