Posted in November 15, 2011 ¬ 10:25 amh.kdecay
According to press reports in SME and Pravda, the most recent FOCUS poll shows the party Smer-SD with a commanding lead and the capacity to gain a majority of seats in parliament. And for once those press reports are correct. This does not mean that Smer will win the majority, but this FOCUS poll is [...]
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Posted in November 4, 2011 ¬ 1:47 pmh.kdecay
Thanks to Sme for publishing a nice version of my 2010 Party Tree diagram (the tree is a helpful format I’ve been using for the last decade and first posted here in 2008) . I wish SME had asked me though, as there is a newer version that might have saved them some work (I [...]
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Posted in November 2, 2011 ¬ 11:50 amh.kdecay
In the wake of the fall of the government, we’ve now gotten a few new polls from firms that are less frequent to offer them, particularly Polis (last week) and MVK (t0day). Despite the headlines which regard these as items of “news,” both of these are interesting in the ways that they show very little [...]
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Posted in October 15, 2011 ¬ 8:58 amh.kdecay
I always bury the lead in these stories and I’m trying not to, so here’s the four sentence summary: According to current polls Smer is likely to be able to form a government with SNS and would almost be able to form one on its own, but polls are often misleading and obscure narrow margins [...]
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Posted in October 14, 2011 ¬ 10:35 amh.kdecay
Now that the dust has settled and the world has moved on to other things, it is time for a post-mortem of what happened. (I wish, in retrospect, that time had permitted me to publish my pre-mortem which, because it revealed certain electoral incentives for SaS to hold its ground and not swerve in this [...]
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Posted in October 13, 2011 ¬ 8:36 amh.kdecay
When the definitive history of the eurozone crisis is written Tuesday’s vote in the Slovak parliament will probably merit a line or just a footnote. In contrast, last month’s decision of the German parliament to back the bailout will no doubt take up a paragraph or a page. If Germany had rejected the bailout we [...]
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Posted in October 12, 2011 ¬ 8:03 amh.kdecay
Work in progress here, but I wanted to get out the first half while anybody was still interested. Before I get to that, however, a bit of news: Slovak media is reporting an agreement: Smer will support the EFSF package in a vote to be held Friday at the latest in return for early elections [...]
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Posted in October 12, 2011 ¬ 8:01 amh.kdecay
The people of Slovakia are so accustomed to being ignored or misidentified that they have made it a source of national pride (as the a recent Slovak beer ad attests), but suddenly Slovakia is on the cover of every newspaper in Europe (and even in the United States) because it alone of the 17 Euro [...]
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Posted in October 7, 2011 ¬ 7:59 amh.kdecay
Two small but notable bits of news today for those of us interested in new parties. Even (perhaps especially) the highest of party officials may go off an found a new party when they find themselves unappreciated in their own: Iveta Radicova, Prime Minister of Slovakia, notes that she didn’t join her current party until [...]
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Posted in August 17, 2011 ¬ 10:00 amh.kdecay
I didn’t think that I would need to be the one to do this, but somebody needs to do make a visual comment on what passes for party building on the Czech left. So I guess it’s up to me and Adobe Photoshop. We saw this kind of love story in 2010, the two partners coming [...]
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